AI-ML for Decision and Risk Analysis: Challenges and Opportunities for Normative Decision Theory

  • 10h 33m
  • Louis Anthony Cox Jr.
  • Springer
  • 2023

This book explains and illustrates recent developments and advances in decision-making and risk analysis. It demonstrates how artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) have not only benefitted from classical decision analysis concepts such as expected utility maximization but have also contributed to making normative decision theory more useful by forcing it to confront realistic complexities. These include skill acquisition, uncertain and time-consuming implementation of intended actions, open-world uncertainties about what might happen next and what consequences actions can have, and learning to cope effectively with uncertain and changing environments. The result is a more robust and implementable technology for AI/ML-assisted decision-making.

The book is intended to inform a wide audience in related applied areas and to provide a fun and stimulating resource for students, researchers, and academics in data science and AI-ML, decision analysis, and other closely linked academic fields. It will also appeal to managers, analysts, decision-makers, and policymakers in financial, health and safety, environmental, business, engineering, and security risk management.

About the Author

Louis Anthony Cox Jr. is a Professor of Business Analytics at the University of Colorado, USA; Chief Digital Intelligence Officer at Entanglement, Inc.; and President of Cox Associates, a Denver-based applied research company specializing in artificial intelligence and machine learning; health, safety, and environmental risk analysis; epidemiology; policy analytics; data science; and operations research. Dr. Cox is Editor-in-Chief of Risk Analysis: An International Journal. He is a member of the National Academy of Engineering, a Fellow of the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science (INFORMS), and a Fellow of the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA). He has authored and co-authored over 200 journal articles and numerous books and chapters in these fields. He holds over a dozen US patents on applications of artificial intelligence, signal processing, statistics, and operations research in telecommunications. His current research interests include computational statistical methods for causal inference in public health risk analysis, data mining, and advanced analytics for risk management, business, and public policy applications.

In this Book

  • Rational Decision and Risk Analysis and Irrational Human Behavior
  • Data Analytics and Modeling for Improving Decisions
  • Natural, Artificial, and Social Intelligence for Decision-Making
  • Answerable and Unanswerable Questions in Decision and Risk Analysis
  • Decision Theory Challenges for Catastrophic Risks and Community Resilience
  • . Learning Aversion in Benefit-Cost Analysis with Uncertainty
  • Addressing Wicked Problems and Deep Uncertainties in Risk Analysis
  • Muddling-Through and Deep Learning for Bureaucratic Decision-Making
  • Causally Explainable Decision Recommendations Using Causal Artificial Intelligence
  • Re-Assessing Human Mortality Risks Attributed to Agricultural Air Pollution: Insights from Causal Artificial Intelligence
  • Toward More Practical Causal Epidemiology and Health Risk Assessment Using Causal Artificial Intelligence
  • Clarifying the Meaning of Exposure-Response Curves with Causal AI and ML
  • Pushing Back on AI: A Dialogue with ChatGPT on Causal Inference in Epidemiology