The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

  • 14h 20m 12s
  • Nassim Nicholas Taleb
  • Recorded Books, Inc.
  • 2007

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

In this Audiobook

  • Chapter 1: The Apprenticeship of an Empirical Skeptic
  • Chapter 2: Yevgenia's Black Swan
  • Chapter 3: The Speculator and the Prostitute
  • Chapter 4: One Thousand and One Days, or How Not to Be a Sucker
  • Chapter 5: Confirmation Shmonfirmation!
  • Chapter 6: The Narrative Fallacy
  • Chapter 7: Living in the Antechamber of Hope
  • Chapter 8: Giacomo Casanova's Unfailing Luck: The Problem of Silent Evidence
  • Chapter 9: The Ludic Fallacy, or The Uncertainty of the Nerd
  • Chapter 10: The Scandal of Prediction
  • Chapter 11: How to Look for Bird Poop
  • Chapter 12: Epistemocracy, a Dream
  • Chapter 13: Appelles the Painter, or What Do You Do if You Cannot Predict?
  • Chapter 14: From Mediocristan to Extremistan, and Back
  • Chapter 15: The Bell Curve, That Great Intellectual Fraud
  • Chapter 16: The Aesthetics of Randomness
  • Chapter 17: Locke's Madmen, or Bell Curves in the Wrong Places
  • Chapter 18: The Uncertainty of the Phony
  • Chapter 19: Half and Half, or How to Get Even with the Black Swan