The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
- 14h 20m 12s
- Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- Recorded Books, Inc.
- 2007
A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.
In this Audiobook
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Chapter 1: The Apprenticeship of an Empirical Skeptic
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Chapter 2: Yevgenia's Black Swan
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Chapter 3: The Speculator and the Prostitute
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Chapter 4: One Thousand and One Days, or How Not to Be a Sucker
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Chapter 5: Confirmation Shmonfirmation!
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Chapter 6: The Narrative Fallacy
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Chapter 7: Living in the Antechamber of Hope
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Chapter 8: Giacomo Casanova's Unfailing Luck: The Problem of Silent Evidence
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Chapter 9: The Ludic Fallacy, or The Uncertainty of the Nerd
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Chapter 10: The Scandal of Prediction
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Chapter 11: How to Look for Bird Poop
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Chapter 12: Epistemocracy, a Dream
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Chapter 13: Appelles the Painter, or What Do You Do if You Cannot Predict?
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Chapter 14: From Mediocristan to Extremistan, and Back
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Chapter 15: The Bell Curve, That Great Intellectual Fraud
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Chapter 16: The Aesthetics of Randomness
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Chapter 17: Locke's Madmen, or Bell Curves in the Wrong Places
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Chapter 18: The Uncertainty of the Phony
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Chapter 19: Half and Half, or How to Get Even with the Black Swan
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